Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.017737 0.020663 0.023895 0.027727 0.032142 0.037067 0.042973
2025-11-30 0.013660 0.017517 0.022174 0.028197 0.035766 0.044949 0.056920
2025-12-07 0.010599 0.014777 0.020224 0.027818 0.038096 0.051483 0.070205
2025-12-14 0.008223 0.012351 0.018116 0.026700 0.039098 0.056283 0.081821
2025-12-21 0.006713 0.010777 0.016810 0.026337 0.040906 0.062228 0.095643
2025-12-28 0.005981 0.010187 0.016777 0.027735 0.045356 0.072395 0.116768
2026-01-04 0.005258 0.009463 0.016387 0.028460 0.048789 0.081363 0.137106
2026-01-11 0.004407 0.008359 0.015185 0.027641 0.049549 0.086116 0.151211
2026-01-18 0.003802 0.007576 0.014390 0.027356 0.051099 0.092244 0.168188
2026-01-25 0.003242 0.006773 0.013425 0.026602 0.051671 0.096693 0.182683
2026-02-01 0.002805 0.006129 0.012649 0.026063 0.052524 0.101660 0.198564
2026-02-08 0.002466 0.005625 0.012062 0.025790 0.053808 0.107497 0.216609
2026-02-15 0.002123 0.005058 0.011281 0.025047 0.054134 0.111678 0.232231
2026-02-22 0.001987 0.004929 0.011389 0.026161 0.058361 0.123912 0.265024
2026-03-01 0.001778 0.004593 0.011001 0.026153 0.060237 0.131650 0.289636
2026-03-08 0.001536 0.004133 0.010266 0.025265 0.060090 0.135188 0.305924
2026-03-15 0.001367 0.003825 0.009833 0.025003 0.061286 0.141678 0.329179
2026-03-22 0.001312 0.003802 0.010078 0.026377 0.066400 0.157222 0.373872
2026-03-29 0.001226 0.003679 0.010054 0.027090 0.070042 0.169868 0.413408
2026-04-05 0.001077 0.003355 0.009472 0.026319 0.069993 0.174078 0.434074
2026-04-12 0.000969 0.003127 0.009107 0.026053 0.071155 0.181227 0.462367
2026-04-19 0.000855 0.002862 0.008601 0.025335 0.071069 0.185371 0.483882
2026-04-26 0.000763 0.002645 0.008191 0.024822 0.071449 0.190683 0.508807